Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.180534 0.214015 0.251538 0.296644 0.349331 0.408866 0.481179
2025-06-22 0.131032 0.173957 0.227309 0.298232 0.389758 0.503587 0.655564
2025-06-29 0.101054 0.146159 0.206753 0.293573 0.414156 0.574995 0.804955
2025-07-06 0.081211 0.126180 0.190628 0.288865 0.433769 0.638367 0.947523
2025-07-13 0.071089 0.117469 0.187722 0.300599 0.475788 0.735255 1.145863
2025-07-20 0.065263 0.113896 0.191256 0.321438 0.532672 0.858793 1.395937
2025-07-27 0.059043 0.108418 0.190601 0.334938 0.578902 0.970131 1.638405
2025-08-03 0.051487 0.099286 0.182386 0.334414 0.601548 1.045606 1.830608
2025-08-10 0.043492 0.087975 0.168656 0.322213 0.602330 1.084320 1.964835
2025-08-17 0.036338 0.077004 0.153855 0.305818 0.593189 1.104274 2.067680
2025-08-24 0.032499 0.071848 0.149032 0.307013 0.615603 1.180930 2.276864
2025-08-31 0.028094 0.064801 0.139534 0.297845 0.617177 1.219560 2.420017
2025-09-07 0.025634 0.061714 0.137975 0.305187 0.653472 1.329897 2.715352
2025-09-14 0.022854 0.057482 0.133520 0.306176 0.677653 1.420602 2.984758
2025-09-21 0.020005 0.052562 0.126811 0.301340 0.689050 1.487141 3.213290
2025-09-28 0.017567 0.048161 0.120551 0.296508 0.699633 1.552768 3.446254
2025-10-05 0.016521 0.047044 0.121671 0.308535 0.748476 1.702522 3.868579
2025-10-12 0.016097 0.047468 0.126511 0.329893 0.820786 1.909242 4.431938
2025-10-19 0.015265 0.046643 0.128153 0.343729 0.877260 2.086966 4.949234
2025-10-26 0.013801 0.043785 0.124220 0.343192 0.899557 2.190814 5.312612
2025-11-02 0.011985 0.039556 0.116052 0.330688 0.891164 2.223861 5.518600
2025-11-09 0.010237 0.035174 0.106769 0.313885 0.869841 2.224363 5.648866
2025-11-16 0.009369 0.033350 0.104300 0.315110 0.894761 2.337243 6.055686